During the early stages of the Covid pandemic, supply chain disruptions due to plant shutdowns and widespread employee shortages resulted in price increases as demand rapidly outweighed supply. Consumers have remained burdened with high prices on most goods, and prognosticators are predicting that costs will remain high or continue to increase moderately for the foreseeable future.
It is evident that there is a direct correlation between inflation and the pricing of commercial real estate. Often, the “cure” to inflation is an increase in federal interest rates which have a direct impact on commercial real estate valuations. Economists have been expecting an increase in interest rates but were not expecting the federal government’s recent suggestion of three potential hikes in 2022. Additionally, there are rumored hikes in 2023, and more in 2024. The message is clear: due to the rapid inflationary pressures, driven largely by supply chain disruptions, the Federal Reserve has an aggressive plan to increase these rates.
Donald J. Trump, 45th President of The United States of America, will most likely bring some much needed stimulus to the economy in his first year. His policies point to a combination of tax cuts and government spending in the form of upgrading the nation’s infrastructure and for national defense, which will provide a short term boost to the economy in the first half of 2017.